Working Papers

Under Review

• The Linder Hypothesis for Foreign Direct Investment Revisited, with Dongin Kim, Review of International Economics, revise & resubmit. [Paper]

• The Impact of Retaliatory Tariffs on Agricultural and Food Trade, with Colin A. Carter, Journal of the Agricultural & Applied Economics Association, revise & resubmit, also published as NBER Working Paper w27147. [Paper]

• The Health Impact of Ragweed Allergies in Sweden, Journal of Health Economics, revise & resubmit. [Paper]

• Determinants of PTA Design: Insights from Machine Learning, with Stepan Gordeev. [Paper]

• Pre-Trends and Trade Effects of Temporary Trade Barriers, with Armen Khederlarian, FREIT Working Paper 1781. [Paper]

• Trade Implications of Ending China's Zero-Covid Policy, with Xiting Zhuang. [Paper]

• Happy Pills? Mental Health Effects of the Dramatic Increase in Antidepressant Use, with Giuliano Masiero, Fabrizio Mazzonna, also published as IZA Working Paper 13727. [Paper]

• Survival of Independent Grocery Retailers in a Changing Retail Landscape, with Donghoon Kim, Rigoberto Lopez and Keenan Marchesi. [Paper]

• Deep Trade Agreements and Agri-Food Global Value Chain Integration, with Dongin Kim and Carlos Zurita. [Paper]

• Did Grain Futures Prices Overreact to the Russia-Ukraine War? with Colin A. Carter. [Paper]

• U.S. Agricultural Exports and the 2022 Mississippi River Drought, with Xiting Zhuang. [Paper]

• What Matters for Agricultural Trade? Assessing the Role of Trade Deal Provisions using Machine Learning, with Stepan Gordeev, Jeremy Jelliffe and Dongin Kim. [Paper]

• Global Shipping Container Disruptions and U.S. Agricultural Exports, with Colin A. Carter and Xiting Zhuang, IATRC Working Paper 22-01. [Paper]

• Rising Protectionism and Foreign Direct Investment, with Dongin Kim. [Paper]

• The Impact of the 2018 Trade War on Foreign Trade of Canada, the United States, and Mexico, with Colin A. Carter. [Paper]

Selected Work in Progress

• Preferential Trading in Agriculture: New Insights from a Structural Gravity Analysis and Machine Learning, with Dongin Kim. [Paper]

• Exchange Rate Risk and Global Food Supply Chains, NBER Working Paper w29164. [Paper]

• The Corporatization of Veterinary Medicine: An Empirical Analysis of Its Impact on Independent Practices. [Paper]

• Similarity in Demand Structures and Foreign Direct Investment in the Food and Beverage Industry, with Dongin Kim.  [Paper]

• Measuring the Impact of Sunset Reviews on Agricultural and Food Trade, with Sijia Chen. [Paper]

• Promise and Pitfalls for the Use of Human Mobility Data for Economic Research, with Cristina Connolly, Mike Vo, and Xibu Wan [Paper]

• The Interplay of Geopolitics and Agricultural Commodity Prices: Analyzing Policy Implications, with Raghav Goyal and Edourad Mensah. [Paper]

• Trade Diversion and the Initiation Effect: A Case Study of U.S. Trade Remedies in Agriculture, with Colin A. Carter, NBER Working Paper w24745. [Paper]

• The Impact of Trade Disputes on U.S. Agriculture: A Data-Driven Approach for Counterfactual Measurement, with Armen Khederlarian. [Paper]

• The War for Grain: How the Russian Invasion of Ukraine Impacted the Grain Futures Market, with Yasin Yildirim. [Paper]